Representation of animal distributions in space: how geostatistical estimates impact simulation modeling of foot-and-mouth disease spread
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Representation of animal distributions in space: how geostatistical estimates impact simulation modeling of foot-and-mouth disease spread.
Modeling potential disease spread in wildlife populations is important for predicting, responding to and recovering from a foreign animal disease incursion. To make spatial epidemic predictions, the target animal species of interest must first be represented in space. We conducted a series of simulation experiments to determine how estimates of the spatial distribution of white-tailed deer impa...
متن کاملModelling the initial spread of foot-and-mouth disease through animal movements.
Livestock movements in Great Britain (GB) are well recorded and are a unique record of the network of connections among livestock-holding locations. These connections can be critical for disease spread, as in the 2001 epidemic of foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) in the UK. Here, the movement data are used to construct an individual-farm-based model of the initial spread of FMD in GB and determine t...
متن کاملSimulation of foot-and-mouth disease spread within an integrated livestock system in Texas, USA.
We used a simulation study to assess the impact of an incursion of foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) virus on the livestock industries in an 8-county area of the Panhandle region of Texas, USA. The study was conducted in a high-density livestock area, with an estimated number of cattle on-feed of approximately 1.8 million. We modified an existing stochastic, spatial simulation model to simulate 64 s...
متن کاملModelling the spread of foot-and-mouth disease virus.
Foot-and-mouth disease is an economically important viral disease in animals. It is shown that airborne diffusion is one of the main sources of contamination between animals and between herds. Epidemiological data linked to viral particle excretion can thus be used in a predictive model, added to meteorological data related to the few days before the slaughter of animals. The model computes, on...
متن کاملFoot-and-mouth Disease Spread in This Small World
Foot-and-mouth disease appeared as devastating storms that swept UK and Taiwan in recent epidemics. Many observations attributed these disasters to the extensive countrywide movements of animals, and the intensive nature of the livestock industry. However, there is no mathematical model incorporating these two factors in its framework. In this project, we combined formal analytical models, Arti...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Veterinary Research
سال: 2008
ISSN: 0928-4249,1297-9716
DOI: 10.1051/vetres:2007055